Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.737729 0.856619 0.985688 1.135850 1.305367 1.490418 1.707311
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.546931 0.706365 0.895253 1.133909 1.425614 1.768666 2.200568
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.446100 0.630686 0.865984 1.184040 1.598294 2.114677 2.801456
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.369521 0.566056 0.833171 1.215770 1.741462 2.429081 3.385354
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.325280 0.534330 0.834570 1.286216 1.935024 2.817864 4.090822
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.271334 0.477374 0.789591 1.281810 2.019219 3.060200 4.611987
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.226211 0.425083 0.742182 1.264529 2.077999 3.265524 5.089781
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.191341 0.382821 0.703140 1.252756 2.139681 3.474457 5.581106
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.169223 0.358427 0.688907 1.276902 2.255887 3.768773 6.212916
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.149214 0.334189 0.671112 1.291785 2.356297 4.042879 6.827686
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.131190 0.310454 0.650632 1.298727 2.442287 4.297493 7.424316
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.118922 0.296068 0.645046 1.330415 2.570884 4.626058 8.153330
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.104697 0.275475 0.625787 1.336490 2.657938 4.896217 8.811301
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.087568 0.245171 0.583324 1.294307 2.655627 5.017177 9.232827
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.080423 0.236664 0.584081 1.335337 2.807008 5.407566 10.123073
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.073115 0.226324 0.579471 1.364805 2.938418 5.770072 10.983828
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.070003 0.226082 0.596773 1.440388 3.162382 6.307209 12.169909
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.061601 0.210078 0.576395 1.434702 3.227788 6.563288 12.877815
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.053483 0.193026 0.551080 1.415349 3.263784 6.766510 13.500474
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.046806 0.178578 0.529825 1.402261 3.310419 6.990347 14.168441
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042898 0.171692 0.526349 1.428829 3.440182 7.376410 15.147702
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.038925 0.163689 0.518881 1.445212 3.549279 7.727992 16.078208
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.035019 0.154961 0.508251 1.452855 3.639814 8.047634 16.962360